In the context of India, which of the following factors is/are contributor/contributors to reducing the risk of a currency crisis?
- The foreign currency earnings of India’s IT sector
- Increasing the government expenditure
- Remittances from Indians abroad
Select the correct answer using the code given below.
Detailed Explanation:
Answer: Option 2 — 1 and 3 only
A currency crisis occurs when a country faces rapid depletion of foreign exchange reserves, making it unable to meet its international payment obligations. Factors that increase foreign currency inflows help build reserves and reduce such risks.
✅ Statement 1 – Correct: India's IT sector earns substantial foreign exchange through service exports, directly strengthening forex reserves and providing a cushion against currency volatility.
❌ Statement 2 – Incorrect: Increasing government expenditure, especially if financed through borrowing, can widen fiscal deficits and potentially weaken investor confidence, thereby increasing rather than reducing currency crisis risk.
✅ Statement 3 – Correct: Remittances from Indians working abroad constitute a steady inflow of foreign currency, which bolsters forex reserves and acts as a buffer against external shocks.
📝 Short Notes: Factors Reducing Currency Crisis Risk
- Foreign Exchange Reserves: Act as a cushion to meet import bills and external debt obligations during times of stress.
- Current Account Balance: Export earnings (goods and services) and remittances improve the current account, reducing dependency on foreign capital.
- IT & Service Exports: India's IT sector is a major net foreign exchange earner, contributing significantly to invisible receipts.
- Remittances: India is the largest recipient of remittances globally, providing a stable source of foreign currency inflows.
- Fiscal Discipline: Excessive government expenditure leading to high fiscal deficits can trigger capital outflows and currency depreciation if financed unsustainably.
- Capital Controls: Prudent management of capital flows helps prevent sudden stops and reversals that trigger currency crises.
Question 5 of 12 Balance of Payments
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